The latest Andrew Mount horse racing tips are here. This column is all about the action that will take place on Tuesday, October 12th. A well-known broadcaster and journalist, Andrew has over 20 years of industry experience. He writes for the Racing Post, Weekender, and Racing & Football Outlook. As a tipster using statistics to make decisions, players can hear Andrew’s thoughts on William Hill Radio. He is also an expert on Racing Post TV. Andrew develops nifty systems to help us beat the bookmakers.
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Andrew has six horse racing betting tips for players today. These run in Leicester, Huntingdon, Hereford and Newcastle. Check out the reasons why you should support them below:
1.00 – AKHU NAJLA (system – 2 years Kingman colt, 7f + on grass)
Roger Varians AKHU NAJLA was all the rage when bets opened yesterday afternoon and were soon supported by 11-4 to 7-4 favorites. The Kingman newbie looks well drawn in stall 3. If we had supported all of the father’s 2 year old colts over 7f on grass, we would have won 31 of our 134 bets (23.1% strike rate) and a profit of £ 45.50 at a. made £ 1 stake on SP. The newcomers were 14 out of 54 (25.9%) for a profit of £ 53.45.
Bet on Akhu Najla at SBK
2.40 – CAPLA FEVER (Systems – Marco Botti filly at first school & father Fast Company on soft or difficult run)
In good shape Marco Botti has a good record of young mares making their handicap debut and won £ 13.38 on a £ 1 stake on SP with 12 of the 57 qualifiers (21.1%). Those who started with 8/1 or shorter were 11 out of 37 (29.7%) with a profit of £ 20.38. CAPLA FEVER‘s three previous runs have been on fast turf and tapeta, but since she was bred by Fast Company, she is bred to come to her strengths now that she is walking on soft ground for the first time.
Previous Capla fever at SBK
2.30 – MISS MCGUGEN (System – Stuart Edmunds Stable Switcher)
MISS MCGUGEN changed hands for £ 14,000 after winning an Irish 12-length point-to-point win that spring, potentially giving Stuart Edmunds a chance to start winning. He does well the first time inquiring with horses he buys from other farms, making a profit of £ 16.75 on a £ 1 stake on SP with nine of the 42 qualifiers.
Bet on Miss McGugen at SBK
4.50 – MOVEMENT IN LIMINE (system – Dr. Richard Newland barn change, only handicap hurdles)
Dr. Richard Newland has a good first-time track record with horses he takes over from other farms, especially when they make their stable debut in a handicap. He saddled 26 winners out of 88 entrants on this system for a win of £ 28.96 on a £ 1 stake on SP. MOVEMENT IN LIMINE, a winner in Ireland on his most recent appearance, will be the final qualifier.
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2.48 – AIMEE DE SIVOLA (system – Nick Williams over fences for the second time)
Nick Williams’ Chase debutants usually need the experience, so this is the second time we should stand on our side over fences. In the past five years he has sent out six winners out of 20 runners on this system for a £ 21.26 win on a £ 1 stake on SP, with ten of the 14 horses batted finishing second or third. AIMEE DE SIVOLA jumped out second to her right in Warwick on last month’s hunting debut and will appreciate the move to this clockwise configured venue.
Bet on Aimee De Sivola at SBK
6.30 – HEART OF KABEIR (System – Richard Fahey Handicap debutants in Newcastle)
Richard Fahey has a solid current record of handicap debutants in Newcastle, taking 19 of the 70 qualifiers since early 2018 (24.4% strike rate) to a profit of £ 41.70. He has not yet had a junior winner on this system, although six of the 12 qualifiers made it. Hence an all-way play on HEART OF KABEIR could reap dividends in this 6f kindergarten. She did the best she could to get out of the pace last time at Catterick and this track will fit.
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