Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, and the GG.co.uk website. He is also a regular expert on William Hill Racing Radio. Andrew’s stats-based approach to betting finds many winners and he shares his unique insight for Friday’s race below.
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Andrew found ROCK OF FAME (50-1) among his picks on Thursday and has four more picks in Newbury, Chelmsford and Dundalk on Friday, November 26th:
NASSALAM (system – dam’s father Shirocco, chases)
WET SALAM fought playfully for a narrow goal at Ascot on his hunting debut, despite jumping out to the left on the right-handed stretch. Moving to this left-handed venue should improve and it can hold its 100% record over fences. It’s a very small sample, but pursuers with Shirocco as the dam’s sire have shape numbers of 11F12 (3-5).
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MAWINGO (system – Rae Guest, 2 years old for the second time)
The youngsters at Rae Guest usually need their first outing and that was certainly with MAWINGOwho missed the break and turned green on his debut 13 days ago in a 28-1 ninth of 12 at Wolverhampton. Since the beginning of 2012, his coach’s two-year-olds have had a five-of-18 record on All Weather for the second time, winning £ 39.60 up to a £ 1 stake on SP. Five of the beaten horses were placed, two of them at 33-1, and a small interest each way paid off.
concrete MAWINGO at SBK
SPEYCASTER (system – Ralph Beckett well-drawn Chelmsford runners)
Ralph Beckett does well at Chelmsford, with 28 of his 132 runners (21.2% strike rate) making a profit of £ 43.16 on a £ 1 stake on SP. Had we only backed those drawn in stand 7 or lower we would have won 27 of our 103 bets (26.2%) and made £ 64.16. SPEYCASTER did best when he finished 22-1 third last time in Bath and can hit the mark on his all-weather debut.
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BRADESCO (system – older colts with all-weather handicaps)
As of early 2018, supporting older stallions (four years and older) in all-weather handicaps would have found 130 winners out of 736 bets (17.7% strike rate) for a win of £ 74.37 up to a £ 1 stake on SP . Supporting those with the best early odds the night before the race would have turned in a £ 221.80 profit. BRADESCO contributed with course wins at 11-2 and 2-1 earlier this month and can complete his hat trick.
concrete BRADESCO at SBK
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